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科技与出版  2025, Vol. 44 Issue (11): 37-49    
特别策划·迈向出版生态创新的未来
国际主要学术出版集团出版生态变迁及启示
顾立平1,2,陆彩女3
1. 中国科学院文献情报中心,100190,北京
2. 中国科学院大学信息资源管理系,100080,北京
3. 上海科技大学材料器件中心,201210,上海
Transformation of the Publishing Ecology of Major International Academic Publishing Groups and Its Implications
GU Liping1,2,LU Cainv3
1. National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100190, Beijing, China
2. Department of Information Resource Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100080, Beijing, China
3. ShanghaiTech Material and Device Laboratory, 201210, Shanghai, China
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摘要: 

为系统把握国际学术出版发展态势,本文聚焦Elsevier、Springer Nature、Wiley、Taylor & Francis和SAGE五大国际学术出版集团,系统梳理这些出版集团近年来在战略转型与业务重组、加速推进开放获取及学术出版生态治理三大维度呈现出的核心动向,揭示国际出版生态的深层变迁。研究表明,国际学术出版集团正努力重塑着全球学术出版生态,积极从传统内容提供商转向科研服务生态主导者,通过并购聚焦核心业务、深化人工智能技术应用、大规模推广转换协议及探索多元开放获取模式,以及开发开放科研诚信工具、参与制定国际规则,不断强化全球学术治理角色。基于此,本文提出我国学术出版行业应着力于技术赋能、可持续开放获取路径探索及协同治理学术生态三方面,以构建更具话语权与包容性的可持续学术传播体系与出版生态。

关键词 国际学术出版集团出版生态人工智能开放获取    
Abstract

The international scholarly communication ecosystem is undergoing a profound transformation. This study examines the strategic responses of five leading academic publishers—Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley, Taylor & Francis, and SAGE—from 2022 to 2025. By analyzing corporate annual reports, official press releases, policy documents, and industry whitepapers, this research identifies three interconnected trajectories reshaping the global publishing ecology. First, strategic transformation and business restructuring have accelerated. While overall revenues for most publishing groups remain resilient or show growth, the compositions of these revenues reflect a decisive pivot away from traditional subscription-based publishing. Traditional subscription-based publishing is approaching saturation, evidenced by stable or slightly declining shares of total revenue. Growth is now driven by diversification strategies: aggressive acquisitions target adjacent services such as research workflow tools, data analytics platforms, and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven solutions; divestitures of non-core assets sharpen focus on scholarly research; substantial research and development (R & D) investment fuels AI integration across discovery, peer review, writing assistance, and plagiarism / image detection; and strategic expansion into emerging markets (Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East) is vigorously pursued through transformative agreements and localized partnerships. Second, the transition toward Open Access (OA) is steadily accelerating, albeit accompanied by ever-changing models and emerging challenges. There has been a notable surge in the signing of Transformative Agreements, peaking around 2023. These agreements have emerged as the favored approach for facilitating large-scale OA conversion, typically structured as multi-year, consortium-based "Read & Publish" deals, such as the DEAL agreements in Germany. Publishers also experiment with alternative OA pathways like Subscribe to Open, Pledge to Open, Direct to Open, Flip it Open, and Purchase to Open, as well as collective funding models and diamond OA initiatives. Efforts are made to include smaller institutions in OA frameworks. However, sustainability concerns persist. Article Processing Charge (APC) inflation continues, with differential pricing based on Creative Commons licenses or speed of service emerging. Third, engagement in scholarly ecosystem governance has intensified. Recognizing their pivotal role, publishers are investing heavily in research integrity infrastructure: developing and deploying AI tools to detect paper mills, image manipulation, and AI-generated text; participating in global initiatives like United2Act; and collaborating on authorship guidelines. Service optimization for authors and librarians includes AI-powered peer review matching, manuscript transfer services, reduced decision times, writing assistants, code sharing integration, and training resources for AI literacy. Drawing on these international experiences, this paper proposes strategic recommendations for China's academic publishing industry. It is suggested that China should leverage its institutional advantages to build autonomous and controllable intelligent publishing platforms through technological empowerment. Regarding the OA pathway, prioritizing non-APC/BPC models, such as diamond OA and collaborative funding mechanisms, is crucial for developing a sustainable and inclusive system. Furthermore, in terms of governance mechanisms, proactive participation in international rule-making is essential to enhance China's discourse power in global academic communication. The ultimate goal is to construct a new academic communication ecosystem that is open, sustainable, and globally influential.

Key wordsinternational academic publishing groups    publishing ecology    artificial intelligence    open access
出版日期: 2025-12-11
基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目一般项目“开放科学环境中数据馆员服务模式研究”(21BTQ005)

引用本文:

顾立平,陆彩女. 国际主要学术出版集团出版生态变迁及启示[J]. 科技与出版, 2025, 44(11): 37-49.
GU Liping,LU Cainv. Transformation of the Publishing Ecology of Major International Academic Publishing Groups and Its Implications. Science-Technology & Publication, 2025, 44(11): 37-49.

链接本文:

http://kjycb.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/      或      http://kjycb.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2025/V44/I11/37

表 1  国际主要学术出版集团近三年营业收入
表 2  国际主要学术出版集团近三年出版收入占比
图 1  全球及各主要出版集团开放获取出版转换协议数量变化趋势*
*年份为协议开始日期的年份。Springer Nature包括两家公司合并前各自签署的协议。
表 3  国际OA趋势对我国书刊领域的影响及对我国学术出版的启示
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