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| Transformation of the Publishing Ecology of Major International Academic Publishing Groups and Its Implications |
| GU Liping1,2,LU Cainv3 |
1. National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100190, Beijing, China 2. Department of Information Resource Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100080, Beijing, China 3. ShanghaiTech Material and Device Laboratory, 201210, Shanghai, China |
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Abstract The international scholarly communication ecosystem is undergoing a profound transformation. This study examines the strategic responses of five leading academic publishers—Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley, Taylor & Francis, and SAGE—from 2022 to 2025. By analyzing corporate annual reports, official press releases, policy documents, and industry whitepapers, this research identifies three interconnected trajectories reshaping the global publishing ecology. First, strategic transformation and business restructuring have accelerated. While overall revenues for most publishing groups remain resilient or show growth, the compositions of these revenues reflect a decisive pivot away from traditional subscription-based publishing. Traditional subscription-based publishing is approaching saturation, evidenced by stable or slightly declining shares of total revenue. Growth is now driven by diversification strategies: aggressive acquisitions target adjacent services such as research workflow tools, data analytics platforms, and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven solutions; divestitures of non-core assets sharpen focus on scholarly research; substantial research and development (R & D) investment fuels AI integration across discovery, peer review, writing assistance, and plagiarism / image detection; and strategic expansion into emerging markets (Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East) is vigorously pursued through transformative agreements and localized partnerships. Second, the transition toward Open Access (OA) is steadily accelerating, albeit accompanied by ever-changing models and emerging challenges. There has been a notable surge in the signing of Transformative Agreements, peaking around 2023. These agreements have emerged as the favored approach for facilitating large-scale OA conversion, typically structured as multi-year, consortium-based "Read & Publish" deals, such as the DEAL agreements in Germany. Publishers also experiment with alternative OA pathways like Subscribe to Open, Pledge to Open, Direct to Open, Flip it Open, and Purchase to Open, as well as collective funding models and diamond OA initiatives. Efforts are made to include smaller institutions in OA frameworks. However, sustainability concerns persist. Article Processing Charge (APC) inflation continues, with differential pricing based on Creative Commons licenses or speed of service emerging. Third, engagement in scholarly ecosystem governance has intensified. Recognizing their pivotal role, publishers are investing heavily in research integrity infrastructure: developing and deploying AI tools to detect paper mills, image manipulation, and AI-generated text; participating in global initiatives like United2Act; and collaborating on authorship guidelines. Service optimization for authors and librarians includes AI-powered peer review matching, manuscript transfer services, reduced decision times, writing assistants, code sharing integration, and training resources for AI literacy. Drawing on these international experiences, this paper proposes strategic recommendations for China's academic publishing industry. It is suggested that China should leverage its institutional advantages to build autonomous and controllable intelligent publishing platforms through technological empowerment. Regarding the OA pathway, prioritizing non-APC/BPC models, such as diamond OA and collaborative funding mechanisms, is crucial for developing a sustainable and inclusive system. Furthermore, in terms of governance mechanisms, proactive participation in international rule-making is essential to enhance China's discourse power in global academic communication. The ultimate goal is to construct a new academic communication ecosystem that is open, sustainable, and globally influential.
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Published: 11 December 2025
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| 出版机构 | 2022年 | 2023年 | 2024年 | | Elsevier | 85.53亿英镑 | 91.61亿英镑 | 94.34亿英镑 | | Springer Nature | 18.22亿欧元 | 18.53亿欧元 | 18.47亿欧元 | | Wiley | 20.83亿美元 | 20.20亿美元 | 18.73亿美元 | | Taylor & Francis | 5.94亿英镑 | 6.19亿英镑 | 6.98亿英镑 |
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| 出版机构 | 2022年/% | 2023年/% | 2024年/% | | Elsevier | 34.01 | 33.42 | 32.34 | | Springer Nature | 72.04 | 73.83 | 76.55 | | Wiley | 46.27 | 45.88 | 47.67 | | Taylor & Francis | 26.24 | 19.41 | 19.65 |
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| 国际学术出版集团OA发展趋势 | 对我国的影响 | 对我国学术出版的启示 | | 期刊领域 | 大规模推广转换协议 | 国际学术出版集团与我国各高校、图书馆单独谈判,阻碍了国内形成完整的机构知识库联盟;国内出版界沿用国际学术出版集团的方法,制定相似的OA协议与收费名目,以促使快速形成OA出版态势 | 国内学术出版机构需着眼长远,平衡传统单刊收费的短期营收与构建可持续开放获取生态这一根本目标之间的矛盾 | | 探索多元OA模式 | 国际学术出版集团在我国采取出版集团对单刊的竞争策略,对我国学术期刊生态造成显著冲击;我国现有成熟期刊在提高学术水准和负担运营成本方面长期承受压力,而新创期刊则面临优质稿源被分流至国际品牌集团新刊的困境 | 需要综合以下两点并试图取得平衡:一是通过引进借鉴国际数字出版技术与出版模式的单刊创新发展,二是国内出版商/集成商做大做强,构建可服务于全国学术期刊生态的自主可控的数字出版平台 | | 实施差异化APC定价 | 加剧了我国优秀研究成果外流与APC支出负担:尽管国内存在政策引导,我国多数高水平研究成果仍优先投稿至高影响力国际期刊;缺乏全国性统一谈判平台导致我国在APC定价体系中处于被动,难以形成有效的议价能力 | 机构知识库与OA期刊,如车之两轮,需协同发展,不可偏废;避免简单套用国际出版商以“技术升级”为名、行收费之实的短期商业模式,而需从国家学术传播体系整体效能出发,通过制度创新探索符合国情的OA发展道路 | | 图书领域 | 创新OA专著资助模式 | 暂无影响 | 我国学术专著出版存在资金来源的结构性失衡,过度依赖项目资助和机构大宗采购,导致通过市场化路径实现规模化销售的畅销专著比例偏低,可通过借鉴国际学术出版集团OA专著的创新资助模式经验,探索构建符合我国国情的OA专著出版模式与可持续发展路径 |
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